“And the smallest debt, unpaid long enough, becomes history’s turning point.”… The night shift at the mediation center began quietly—too quietly, Aya thought. That was always the first signal. Silence meant accumulation. On her screen, a dashboard pulsed with live cases: workplace disputes, municipal complaints, cross-border supply disagreements. The system—an AI-assisted conflict monitor modeled loosely on Glasl’s Nine Stages of Conflict Escalation—assigned each case a trajectory score. Most started small. They always did. The case that caught her attention looked trivial. A logistics subcontractor in Yokohama had filed a complaint: delayed payments by 48 hours. The contractor responded: “processing backlog.” No escalation. No threats. No legal language. Stage 1, the system labeled it: hardening. Aya almost archived it. But the system hesitated—an unusual lag, as if something beneath the surface resisted classific...